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Barclays has cut its 2025 S&P 500 price target to 5,900 from 6,600, citing tariffs and worsening economic data. The bank downgraded its outlook on Consumer Discretionary and Industrials sectors to Negative, while upgrading Financials to Positive due to potential deregulation. Concerns about a recession are rising, with JPMorgan estimating a 40% probability, as major companies report weak demand and consumer confidence falters.
Wall Street strategists predict continued gains for the S&P 500 in 2025, driven by solid economic growth, consumer resilience, and potential rate cuts from the Fed. However, concerns loom over Trump's tariff policies possibly igniting trade wars and inflation, while the tech sector's reliance on AI investments raises questions about returns on capital. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, hinging on the interplay of these key factors.
Wall Street's predictions for the 2025 stock market are mixed, with the S&P 500 year-end price target averaging 6,539, indicating an 8% potential increase. However, forecasts range from a 26% drop due to a recession, as suggested by BCA Research, to bullish outlooks from firms like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs, which anticipate continued earnings growth and price targets up to 7,100. Caution remains as analysts warn of potential corrections and economic threats later in the year.
Peter Berezin
People
The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
barclays lowers s p 500 forecast amid economic concerns and tariffs
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